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Preview: West Coast vs North Melbourne

This game is a lot closer than the odds suggest in my opinion. Looks like the bookmakers have overreacted to the sensational win that West Coast produced against the Bulldogs last week. You can get $3.05 for the Roos’ on Sportsbet, a team that also had a convincing win last week.

The forecast is predicting a wet and windy game in the West. Two very average teams playing in bad conditions, things could get ugly. If the forecast stays true expect a low scoring & unskillful game. You wouldn’t suspect its a day for the tall forwards.

The Eagles are still without their two best players in Dean Cox and Daniel Kerr, unfortunately for them they will have to live with that for the remainder of the season.

The 3 W’s – When, Where & Weather

Game History

Head-to-head
West Coast Eagles 18 North Melbourne 17
Games decided by 12 points or less: West Coast 3 North Melb 5
Games decided by 40 points or more: West Coast 9 North Melb 6

Head-to-head – This Decade
West Coast Eagles 9 North Melbourne 4
Games decided by 12 points or less: West Coast 2 North Melb 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: West Coast 3 North Melb 2

Head-to-head – At Subiaco Oval
West Coast Eagles 7 North Melbourne 3
Games decided by 12 points or less: West Coast 1 North Melb 0
Games decided by 40 points or more: West Coast 4 North Melb 2

Last time they met
North Melbourne 13.11 v West Coast Eagles 12.11 at Carrara in Rd 8, 2008.

Last time they met at the Subiaco Oval
West Coast Eagles 18.13 v Kangaroos 7.13 in Rd 10, 2007.

Interesting facts
West Coast has won eight of its last 10 matches against the Kangaroos.
West Coast have won 87.5% of game in the wet over the past 3 seasons compared to the Roos’ 25%.

Milestones
No notable milestones.

The Verdict

This is tough to pick. There’s definitely value with the Kangaroos, value worth taking too in my opinion.

The Roos’ will go in with a more experienced side, something that may help them if the conditions are bad.

I’m going the line with a fair bit of confidence.

Final Verdict
North Melbourne by 16

Best Bet

North Melbourne line +18.5 @ $1.92 – Sportsbet

Best Odds